I am neither a fan nor a maker of sweeping future-of-media predictions. But I will lighten up this holiday season with a few thoughts on business trends of 2014 likely to gain momentum in 2015.


Top of my list — by a wide margin — is whether non-broadcast video can mount a serious business challenge to the news offerings of the networks, local stations and cable


.This one takes a little explaining. Leading national news outlets — The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times and the Associated Press — have been offering video reports online for at least a decade.CNN, the Today show and a host of other news/talk programs have well-trafficked digital sites.


And by now we all know of a little company named Vice, whose principal news product is longish first-person video reports, many from abroad. A trio of lurking questions intrigue me:...